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• Open Access Article Economics Macroeconomics

  10 Pages Download PDF: Tourism, Migration, And Productive Capacity Growth In Sub-Saharan Africa

  Tourism, Migration, And Productive Capacity Growth In Sub-Saharan Africa

  Anthony Orji, Elis Moses Onoh, Onyinye Imelda Anthony-Orji, Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor, Oluchi Okoro, Joseph Fanen Akpesue

  2025-12-19 https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v28i2.406

  Productive capacity has emerged as a critical indicator of long-term economic development, particularly for regions undergoing rapid structural transformation, such as Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Despite increasing global interest, the key drivers of productive capacity in SSA remain insufficiently explored, especially within the context of tourism and migration. Existing studies predominantly rely on GDP-based growth models and often examine tourism and migration separately, overlooking their combined influence on structural development. Moreover, the role of institutional quality in shaping productive capacity is under-investigated. This study examines how international tourism and migration affect productive capacity growth in SSA, while also considering the contributions of urbanization, trade openness, and institutional quality. Using panel data from 38 SSA countries between 2011 and 2021, the analysis employs a dynamic System Generalized Method of Moments (System GMM) estimator to address endogeneity, unobserved heterogeneity, and simultaneity among variables. The results indicate that international tourism and migration exert positive and statistically significant effects on productive capacity. Institutional quality emerges as the most influential driver, followed by urbanization and trade openness. These findings underscore the importance of structural and governance-related factors in enhancing the region’s productive capacity. Tourism and migration contribute meaningfully to productive capacity growth; however, their impact is substantially conditioned by the quality of governance and structural enablers. Policymakers should adopt sustainable tourism strategies, strengthen security and infrastructure, develop migration-friendly frameworks, enhance human capital, and prioritize institutional reforms to maximize long-term productive capacity in SSA.

  pp. 31-40 Abstract views:738 Downloads:244

• Open Access Article Economics Macroeconomics

  13 Pages Download PDF: Foreign Direct Investment, Capital Flows, and Sectoral Growth in Nigeria: A Comparative Analysis of Agriculture and Manufacturing

  Foreign Direct Investment, Capital Flows, and Sectoral Growth in Nigeria: A Comparative Analysis of Agriculture and Manufacturing

  Anthony Orji, Jovita Nneka Uwakwe, Onyinye Imelda Anthony-Orji, Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor, Juliana Ngozi Obiorah

  2025-09-23 https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v28i2.404

  The nexus between the agricultural sector, manufacturing sector, and FDI has been a topic of debate over the years. While the fundamental role of FDI in the growth of the overall economy has been widely recognized, findings of existing literature have remained unclear and inconclusive on how the impact of FDI varies across these distinct sectors, especially within the context of developing countries like Nigeria. This study aims to provide a comprehensive comparative analysis of the impact of FDI and other capital inflows on Nigeria’s agricultural and manufacturing sectors between 1980 and 2021. Using annual time-series data from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators (WDI) and the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), the study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) modelling approach. Four sector-specific ARDL models were specified, each subjected to extensive diagnostic and robustness checks to ensure the reliability of the estimates. The findings reveal a contrasting effect: while FDI exerts no statistically significant influence on manufacturing output, it has a strong and transformative impact on agricultural performance. In addition, other capital inflows, including official development assistance, development finance, and remittances, were found to significantly influence both sectors. The study concludes that FDI is not a universal driver of growth, and its effectiveness depends on sectoral characteristics, investment type, and policy environment. It contributes to the literature by offering one of the first sector-specific comparative analyses of capital flows in Nigeria, providing evidence to guide policies aimed at shifting the economy from consumption-driven patterns toward sustainable, production-oriented growth.

  pp. 1-13 Abstract views:806 Downloads:860

• Open Access Article Economics

  14 Pages Download PDF: Financial Development, Globalization, and Economic Growth in The Next-11 Countries: Evidence from a Panel ARDL Model

  Financial Development, Globalization, and Economic Growth in The Next-11 Countries: Evidence from a Panel ARDL Model

  Moheddine Younsi

  2026-05-18 https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v29i1.427

  Given the growing importance of financial development and globalization in shaping economic growth over recent decades, particularly in the context of the Next-11 countries, policymakers need to carefully assess both the individual and joint effects of these factors to design policies that maximize their growth-enhancing potential. Accordingly, this study investigates the short-run and long-run effects of financial development and globalization—both independently and interactively—on economic growth in the Next-11 countries over the period 1990–2023, employing a panel ARDL framework. The empirical results reveal that financial development and globalization each have negative and significant effects on economic growth in both the short and long run. However, the interaction term between financial development and globalization is positive and significant across both time horizons, providing strong support for the complementarity hypothesis. This finding suggests that, although each factor individually constrains growth, their joint effect mitigates these adverse impacts and ultimately enhances growth outcomes. With respect to the control variables, labor has a positive and significant impact on economic growth in both the short run and the long run, highlighting the critical role of human capital and labor force expansion. Physical capital is found to be insignificant in the long run but exhibits mixed effects in the short run. Inflation remains insignificant in the long run but shows a small yet positive and significant effect in the short run. Overall, these results offer important policy implications, emphasizing the need for coordinated financial and external-sector policies to promote sustainable economic growth in the Next-11 countries.

  pp. 41-54 Abstract views:570 Downloads:240

• Open Access Article Economics

  15 Pages Download PDF: Alternating Heads of State And Structural Transformation In Sub-Saharan Africa: A Panel VAR Analysis

  Alternating Heads of State And Structural Transformation In Sub-Saharan Africa: A Panel VAR Analysis

  Tourere Zenabou, Nzepang Fabrice

  2026-09-30 https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v29i2.436

  This study examines the dynamic interaction between head-of-state alternation and structural transformation in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), an issue that has received limited attention compared with the established literature on political alternation and economic growth. Using data from Limi Kouotou and Epo (2019), the Africa Sector Database, and World Development Indicators for 17 SSA countries over 1970–2015, the study estimates a panel vector autoregression (pVAR) model. The study examines structural transformation through two components: structural change and intra-industry productivity. The results show that innovations in head-of-state alternation are more strongly associated with structural change than with intra-industry productivity. The impulse-response analysis further indicates that head-of-state alternation responds positively to structural-change shocks and negatively to intra-industry-productivity shocks. Forecast-error variance decomposition shows that innovations in head-of-state alternation explain 25.5% of the variance in structural change and 13.4% of the variance in intra-industry productivity, while FDI accounts for 51.2% of the forecast-error variance in head-of-state alternation. The study contributes to the literature by moving beyond the conventional growth–politics relationship and demonstrating the dynamic association between political alternation and the components of structural transformation in SSA.

  pp. 1-15 Abstract views:118 Downloads:55

• Open Access Article Economics

  17 Pages Download PDF: Exploring How Income Inequality, Education, and Policy Shape Energy Access Disparities in Southeast Asia

  Exploring How Income Inequality, Education, and Policy Shape Energy Access Disparities in Southeast Asia

  Syeda Anam Hassan, Inayatul Haq, Alamzeb Aamir, Ihtisham ul Haq, Khalid Zaman

  2025-12-18 https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v28i2.403

  The pursuance of Sustainable Development Goal 7, Affordable and Clean Energy, takes center stage in this research in the vibrant geography of Southeast Asia. This investigation centers on the social and economic ramifications of renewable energy policy, examining the various factors that influence energy fairness and justice. The study aims to determine how financial disparity, community participation, education, policy support, and geographical constraints affected energy access discrepancies in a panel of nine selected Southeast Asian countries from 2000 to 2023. The study employed a panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and robust least squares regression for estimation. Income inequality negatively and significantly affects energy access disparity (EAD) in the panel ARDL model. Community involvement and education improve energy accessibility. Education raises awareness of sustainable energy practices and technology, which increases energy-efficient solution adoption. Community involvement affects inclusive energy access and environmental sustainability policies, and public opinion. Additionally, geographical obstacles and public support are correlated positively, indicating that practical policy actions and investments can increase energy availability. Centralized infrastructure, technology, and egalitarian energy solutions may overcome geographical obstacles. Finally, policy support has an "inverted U-shaped" pattern, suggesting that it may promote socioeconomic growth and reduce energy access inequities. The study provides deep insights that can influence targeted policy choices and promote a sustainable and inclusive energy future for Southeast Asian countries.

  pp. 14-30 Abstract views:862 Downloads:181

• Open Access Article Economics

  16 Pages Download PDF: When Green Accounting Fails to Drive Green Energy: Institutional Quality and China’s Renewable Energy Transition

  When Green Accounting Fails to Drive Green Energy: Institutional Quality and China’s Renewable Energy Transition

  Saqib Munir, Mushab Rashid, Abdul Ghaffar

  2026-05-17 https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v29i1.426

  This study examines how institutional quality, government R&D expenditure, and SEEA-aligned environmental asset indicators are associated with renewable energy adoption in China from 1999 to 2023. It addresses the puzzle that environmental accounting signals and innovation investment do not automatically translate into renewable energy use. Annual data from the World Development Indicators and Worldwide Governance Indicators were analyzed using a hybrid empirical strategy. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag approach was applied to estimate short-run and long-run relationships, while Double Machine Learning, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, and SHAP interpretability were used as supplementary tools for robustness and predictive importance. Given the limited sample size, machine-learning results are interpreted as orthogonalized associations and as predictive evidence rather than as definitive causal effects. ARDL results show that regulatory quality has a positive and statistically significant long-run association with renewable energy adoption. In contrast, government R&D expenditure and adjusted net savings show negative associations, suggesting that innovation spending and fiscal capacity may not support renewable energy adoption unless directed toward deployment and energy-system substitution. Energy resource depletion is statistically insignificant, while natural resource rents show a weak positive long-run association. Machine-learning results identify government R&D expenditure as the strongest predictor, although its direction remains negative. The findings indicate that China’s renewable energy transition depends less on fiscal or technological inputs alone and more on the institutional capacity to convert these inputs into adoption outcomes. The study implies that SEEA-based indicators should be integrated with regulatory mechanisms, deployment-oriented innovation policy, and outcome-based evaluation of energy transition.

  pp. 25-40 Abstract views:516 Downloads:170

• Open Access Article Economics Digital Economy

  16 Pages Download PDF: From Peg to Float: Economic and Political Implications of the Ethiopian Birr Flotation

  From Peg to Float: Economic and Political Implications of the Ethiopian Birr Flotation

  Fentahun Admassu Yayeh

  2025-04-16 https://doi.org/10.36923/iefrontiers.v28i1.286

  The adoption of a floating exchange rate system constitutes a pivotal economic policy decision that both reflects and influences a nation’s broader political economy. The flotation of the Ethiopian Birr (ETB) marks a substantial shift in Ethiopia’s monetary policy framework, carrying significant implications for the country's macroeconomic stability and development trajectory. This paper investigates the rationale behind the policy shift, its anticipated economic impacts, and potential future pathways for Ethiopia. Through a systematic review of the literature and comparative analysis of case studies from other countries, the study provides a comprehensive evaluation of the benefits, risks, and strategic considerations associated with the move to a floating exchange rate. While the reform offers promising prospects for greater economic autonomy, enhanced trade competitiveness, and market-driven growth, it also introduces considerable challenges, including inflationary pressures, socioeconomic inequality, and political uncertainty. To fully leverage the potential of this transition, Ethiopia must prioritize sound policy management, institutional strengthening, and structural economic reforms. These measures are critical to mitigating the inherent risks of exchange rate liberalization and to ensuring that the country achieves long-term macroeconomic stability, inclusive growth, and sustained structural transformation.

  pp. 46-61 Abstract views:1264 Downloads:716

• Open Access Article Economics

  13 Pages Download PDF: Social Capital and Saving Behavior in Ethiopia: Evidence from the Amhara National Regional State

  Social Capital and Saving Behavior in Ethiopia: Evidence from the Amhara National Regional State

  Fentahun Admassu Yayeh, Wondaferahu Mulugeta Demissie

  2024-10-04 https://doi.org/10.36923/iefrontiers.v28i1.254

  The paper analyzes the impact of social capital on the saving behavior of members of financial cooperatives in the Amhara Regional State, Ethiopia. Explanatory and mixed research methods were employed using a cross-sectional study of 348 stratified and randomly selected financial cooperative members. Primary data was collected through structured questionnaires, focus group discussions, and personal interviews. The data was further analyzed using Probit regression and multiple linear regression models. Three types of social capital dimensions:cognitive, relational, and structuralwere operationalized and measured in terms of members' understanding of shared mission and goals, cooperation, and trust. The results revealed strong evidence that the dimensions of social capital affect the amount of savings and the decision to save voluntarily in a way that yields a return. Our findings suggest that structural and relational social capital, particularly through formal networks, effectively increase both the amount saved and the decision to save. However, the lack of cognitive social capital does not encourage saving behavior. Therefore, it is essential to strengthen the dimensions of trustworthiness, cooperation, and understanding of the shared mission and goals within financial cooperatives. This can be achieved through efficient service delivery, financial workshops, and training programs to guide members toward suitable saving instruments

  pp. 01-13 Abstract views:767 Downloads:458