Impact of the COVID-19 virus on MENA stock market
Article Sidebar
-
COVID-19, Stock Market Reaction, MENA Region, Infectious Diseases and Finance, Market Efficiency, Economic Impact of Pandemics
Abstract
This study examines the influence of contagious infectious diseases, specifically COVID-19, on stock market behavior. With the global emergence of COVID-19, we have witnessed not only the health implications of a pandemic but also its profound social and economic repercussions, exacerbated by the implementation of lockdown measures. Utilizing panel data analysis, we assess the impact of disseminated information regarding the virus on the stock markets of the MENA region. Our findings reveal that the daily increases in both total confirmed cases and total deaths attributable to COVID-19 have a consistently significant and negative effect on stock returns across all observed markets. In conclusion, our analysis confirms that the spread of COVID-19 has had a detrimental impact on stock market returns in the MENA region. This underscores the vulnerability of financial markets to global health crises and highlights the necessity for market participants to consider health-related information as a significant factor in risk assessment and investment decision-making processes.
Full text article
References
Al-Awadhi, A. M., Al-Saifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A., & Alhamadi, S. (2020). Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 100326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326
Anon. (n.d.). Coronavirus economics: Debt-laden countries at risk, as financial markets screech to a halt. UN News. Retrieved from [URL]
Anon. (n.d.). Coronavirus: le PIB mondial pourrait diminuer de 0,9% en 2020 à cause de la pandémie de Covid-19. ONU Info. Retrieved from [URL]
Baltagi, B. (2008). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. John Wiley & Sons.
Barro, R. J., Ursúa, J. F., & Weng, J. (2020). The coronavirus and the great influenza pandemic: Lessons from the "Spanish flu" for the coronavirus's potential effects on mortality and economic activity. National Bureau of Economic Research. https://doi.org/10.3386/w26866 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w26866
Binder, J. (1998). The event study methodology since 1969. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 11, 111-137. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008295500105 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1008295500105
Chen, C.-D., Chen, C.-C., Tang, W.-W., & Huang, B.-Y. (2009). The positive and negative impacts of the SARS outbreak: A case of the Taiwan industries. The Journal of Developing Areas, 281-293. https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.0.0041 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1353/jda.0.0041
Chen, M.-H., Jang, S. S., & Kim, W. G. (2007). The impact of the SARS outbreak on Taiwanese hotel stock performance: An event-study approach. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 26, 200-212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhm.2005.11.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijhm.2005.11.004
Chinazzi, M., Davis, J. T., Ajelli, M., Gioannini, C., Litvinova, M., Merler, S., ... Sun, K. (2020). The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. Science, 368, 395-400. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba9757 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aba9757
Dumitrescu, E.-I., & Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29, 1450-1460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2012.02.014
Fama, E. F. (1965). The behavior of stock-market prices. The Journal of Business, 38, 34-105. https://doi.org/10.1086/294743 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1086/294743
Gormsen, N. J., & Koijen, R. S. J. (2020). Coronavirus: Impact on stock prices and growth expectations. University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper. https://doi.org/10.3386/w27387 DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w27387
Gourio, F. (2012). Disaster risk and business cycles. American Economic Review, 102, 2734-66. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.102.6.2734 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.102.6.2734
Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1251-1271. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913827 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/1913827
Hsiang, S., Allen, D., Annan-Phan, S., Bell, K., Bolliger, I., Chong, T., ... Krasovich, E. (2020). The effect of large-scale anti-contagion policies on the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature, 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.22.20040642 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.22.20040642
Jensen, M. C. (1978). Some anomalous evidence regarding market efficiency. Journal of Financial Economics, 6, 95-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(78)90025-9 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(78)90025-9
Kraemer, M. U. G., Yang, C.-H., Gutierrez, B., Wu, C.-H., Klein, B., Pigott, D. M., ... Hanage, W. P. (2020). The effect of human mobility and control measures on the COVID-19 epidemic in China. Science, 368, 493-497. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb4218 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb4218
Ramelli, S., & Wagner, A. F. (2020). Feverish stock price reactions to COVID-19. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3550274 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3550274
Tian, H., Liu, Y., Li, Y., Wu, C.-H., Chen, B., Kraemer, M. U. G., ... Yang, Q. (2020). An investigation of transmission control measures during the first 50 days of the COVID-19 epidemic in China. Science, 368, 638-642. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb6105 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abb6105
Topcu, M., & Gulal, O. S. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 on emerging stock markets. Finance Research Letters. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101691
Zhang, D., Hu, M., & Ji, Q. (2020). Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19. Finance Research Letters, 101528. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101528
Authors
Sirine Ben yaala
Dr. Sirine Ben Yaala is currently an Assistant Professor at the Higher Institute of Management, University of Gabes, Tunisia. She received her Ph.D in Finance from the Faculty of Economics and Management at the University of Sfax, Tunisia. Prior to her doctoral studies, she earned a Research Master's degree in Finance and Insurance at the Higher Institute of Management of Gabes, Tunisia (ISGG). Dr. Ben Yaala began her university course by completing her Bachelor's degree in Finance at the Higher Institute of Management of Gabes, Tunisia (ISGG), where she was the first student awarded in both her Bachelor's and Master's promotions. As a member of the Research, Enterprise & Decisions (RED) Laboratory at ISGG, Dr. Ben Yaala is actively engaged in research focusing on financial market, risk and crisis management, behavioral finance, portfolio management, financial market regulation and crisis prediction.
Jamel Eddine Henchiri
Professor Jamel Eddine Henchiri is currently a Professor at the Higher Institute of Management, University of Gabes, Tunisia. He is also the Director of the Research Laboratory “Research, Enterprise & Decisions” (RED) at the University of Gabes, a position he has held since its establishment in 2013. In addition, he has been the President of the scientific journal of Academic Finance (JoAF). Prof. Henchiri is renowned for his contributions to the field of finance and insurance. He is the founder and main organizer of the international conference CSIFA: International Scientific Conference on Finance and Insurance, which he has overseen since 2006. In addition to his academic and organizational roles, Prof. Henchiri has also served as the Director of the Higher Institute of Management, University of Gabes, Tunisia. He obtained his Ph.D. in Management Science from Rennes University in France (IGR-IAE de Rennes: Rennes, Bretagne, FR). Prof. Henchiri's skills and expertise include finance, banking and finance, financial management, portfolio management, corporate governance, risk management, portfolio theory, behavioral finance, financial market regulation, credit risk management, and portfolio selection.
Copyright (c) 2024 Sirine Ben yaala, Jamel Eddine Henchiri(

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Copyright / Open Access Policy: This journal provides immediate free open access and is distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). This is an open-access journal, which means readers can access it freely. Readers may read, download, copy, distribute, print, search, or link to the full texts of the articles for any lawful purpose without seeking prior permission from the publisher or author. This is consistent with the Budapest Open Access Initiative's (BOAI) definition of open access.
Article Details
How to Cite
Most read articles by the same author(s)
- Manel Mahjoubi, Jamel Eddine Henchiri, Adaptive Market Hypothesis And Overconfidence Bias , Innovation Economics Frontiers: Vol. 27 No. 1 (2024)