Technological Innovation, Governance Institutions, Infrastructure Development, and Economic Complexity in Africa: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Data

Obed Ifeanyichukwu Ojonta (1) , Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor (2)
1. Department of Economics, Faculty of the Social Sciences, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria
2. Department of Economics, Faculty of the Social Sciences, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Nigeria

Abstract

Africa continues to face persistent development challenges, including poverty, income inequality, limited access to healthcare services, and disparities in education. These challenges contradict the objectives of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), which emphasize the importance of innovation, infrastructure development, and strong institutions. Technological innovation has increasingly been recognized as a key channel for promoting infrastructure development, improving economic complexity, and strengthening institutional performance. Motivated by these considerations, this study examines the combined effects of technological innovation, governance institutions, human capital development, infrastructure, and foreign direct investment on economic complexity in Africa. In addition, the study investigates how technological innovation, governance institutions, remittances, foreign direct investment, and economic complexity influence infrastructure development across African economies. The analysis employs the system generalized method of moments (system GMM) estimator using panel data for 31 African countries covering the period from 2011 to 2020. The results reveal that technological innovation has a positive and statistically significant effect on both economic complexity and infrastructure development in Africa. However, the indicators of governance institutions are largely negative and statistically insignificant in their influence on economic complexity and infrastructure. Furthermore, governance institutions do not significantly moderate the relationship between technological innovation and these development outcomes. These findings highlight the importance of strengthening technological innovation systems while addressing institutional weaknesses to promote sustainable economic development across the African continent.

Article Highlights:
  • Technological innovation increases economic complexity in Africa
  • Innovation significantly improves infrastructure development outcomes
  • Human capital and FDI enhance economic complexity and growth
  • Governance institutions show weak or negative development effects
  • Institutional quality weakens innovation–development relationships
  • Strengthening innovation and institutions is key for sustainability

Full text article

Generated from XML file

References

Abbasi, K. R., Lv, K., Radulescu, M., & Shaikh, P. A. (2021). Economic complexity, tourism, energy prices and environmental degradation in the top economic complexity countries: Fresh panel evidence. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28, 68717–68731. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15312-4 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Abdullahi, A., & Sieng, L. W. (2023). The effect of infrastructure development on economic growth: The case of Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Infrastructure, Policy and Development, 7(2), 1–16. https://doi.org/10.24294/jipd.v7i2.1994 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Abubakar, S. (2020). Institutional quality and economic growth: Evidence from Nigeria. African Journal of Economic Review, 8(1), 48–64. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Adam, A., Garas, A., Katsaiti, M., & Lapatinas, A. (2023). Economic complexity and jobs: An empirical analysis. Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 32(1), 25–52. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2020.1859751 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Adeola, O., & Evans, O. (2019). ICT, infrastructure, and tourism development in Africa. Tourism Economics, 26(1), 97–114. https://doi.org/10.1177/1354816619827712 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Agénor, P.-R. (2010). A theory of infrastructure-led development. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 34, 932–950. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2010.01.009 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica, 60(2), 323–351. https://doi.org/10.2307/2951599 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ajakaiye, O., & Ncube, M. (2010). Infrastructure and economic development in Africa: An overview. Journal of African Economies, 19(1), i3–i12. https://doi.org/10.1093/jae/ejq003 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Anekwe, R., Ndubusi-Okolo, P., & Uzoezie, C. (2019). Sustainability in the Nigerian business environment: Problems and prospects. International Journal of Science and Research, 3(3), 72–80. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Anthony-Orji, O. I., Orji, A., Ogbuabor, J. E., & Uka, L. C. (2023). Money matters a lot: Empirical analysis of financial development, financial inclusion and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 17(1), 100–117. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEPEE.2023.128386 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Antonelli, C. (2016). Technological congruence and the economic complexity of technological change. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 38, 15–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2015.11.008 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Archibugi, D., & Lammarino, S. (2002). The globalization of technological innovation: Definition and evidence. Review of International Political Economy, 9(1), 98–122. https://doi.org/10.1080/09692290110101126 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some tests of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Arthur, W. B. (2013). Complexity economics: A different framework for economic thought. In Complexity and the economy (pp. 1–29). Oxford University Press. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Asongu, S. A., Agboola, M. O., Alola, A. A., & Bekun, F. V. (2020). The criticality of growth, urbanization, electricity and fossil fuel consumption to environment sustainability in Africa. Science of The Total Environment, 712, 136376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.136376 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Asongu, S. A., Nwachukwu, J. C., & Orim, S. M. I. (2018). Mobile phones, institutional quality and entrepreneurship in Sub-Saharan Africa. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 131, 183–203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2017.08.007 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Baita, A. J., & Suleiman, H. H. (2021). Sukuk and SDG-9 "Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure" in Sub-Saharan Africa: Achievements, challenges and opportunities. In M. M. Billah (Ed.), Islamic wealth and the SDGs (pp. 599–620). Palgrave Macmillan. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65313-2_31 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Benyah, F. E. K. (2010). Determinants of financial development: A focus on African countries(Master's thesis, Jönköping University). DiVA Portal. http://hj.diva-portal.org/smash/get/diva2:337616/FULLTEXT01 Google Scholar | WorldCat

Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (2000). GMM estimation with persistent panel data: An application to production functions. Econometric Reviews, 19(3), 321–340. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474930008800475 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Bond, S. R. (2002). Dynamic panel data models: A guide to micro data methods and practice. Portuguese Economic Journal, 1, 141–162. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10258-002-0009-9 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Bruinshoofd, A. (2016, January 18). Institutional quality and economic performance. RaboResearch – Economic Research. https://economics.rabobank.com/publications/2016/january/institutional-quality-and-economic-performance/ Google Scholar | WorldCat

Challe, E., Ignacio, J., & Mengus, E. (2019). Institutional quality and capital inflows: Theory and evidence. Journal of International Money and Finance, 96, 168–191. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.05.005 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Dogan, B., Driha, O. M., Lorente, D. B., & Shahzad, U. (2021). The mitigating effects of economic complexity and renewable energy on carbon emissions in developed countries. Sustainable Development, 29(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2125 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ebadi, Y. M., & Utterback, J. M. (1984). The effects of communication on technological innovation. Management Science, 30(5), 572–585. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.30.5.572 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Erkan, B., & Yildirimci, E. (2015). Economic complexity and export competitiveness: The case of Turkey. *Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 195*, 524–533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2015.06.262 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ertugral, S. M., Akova, O., & Gedik, S. (2017). An evaluation of Turkey's renewable energy resources and thermal tourism development. International Journal of Social and Economic Sciences, 7(2), 39–45. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Espacios, H. R., Maksym, M., Tetiana, V., & Andrii, V. (2019). Concession relations as an instrument for infrastructural development of the tourism industry. Journal of Environmental Management and Tourism, 10(3), 567–578. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Fan, P. (2011). Innovation capacity and economic development: China and India. Economic Change and Restructuring, 44, 49–73. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-010-9088-2 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Fatai, F., Agboola, P. O., Ozturk, I., Bekun, F. V., & Oluwatoyin, M. (2021). Environmental consequences of economic complexities in the EU amidst a booming tourism industry: Accounting for the role of Brexit and other crisis events. Journal of Cleaner Production, 305, 127117. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.127117 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Fayol, H. (1949). General and industrial management (C. Storrs, Trans.). Sir Isaac Pitman & Sons. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Feder, G., & Umali, D. (1993). The adoption of agricultural innovations: A review. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 43(3), 215–239. https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1625(93)90053-A Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Frees, E. W. (1995). Assessing cross-sectional correlation in panel data. Journal of Econometrics, 69(2), 393–414. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01658-M Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Friedman, M. (1937). The use of ranks to avoid the assumption of normality implicit in the analysis of variance. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 32(200), 675–701. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1937.10503522 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ghafoor, A. (2000). Public infrastructure performance in developing countries (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315204710 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Hidalgo, C. A., & Hausmann, R. (2009). The building blocks of economic complexity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(26), 10570–10575. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0900943106 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ibrahim, R. L., Al-mulali, U., Ozturk, I., Bello, A. K., & Raimi, L. (2022). On the criticality of renewable energy to sustainable development: Do green financial development, technological innovation, and economic complexity matter for China? Renewable Energy, 199, 262–277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2022.08.101 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Jones, B. (2002). Economic integration and convergence of per capita income in West Africa. African Development Review, 14(1), 18–47. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.00044 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Kamguia, B., Ndjakwa, M., & Tadadjeu, S. (2023). Does infrastructural development foster export upgrading in Africa? African Development Review, 35(1), 79–94. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12684 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ketu, I., Tchouto, J.-E. T., & Kelly, A. M. (2022). Does infrastructure development drive economic complexity in African countries? Economics Bulletin, 42(3), 1456–1470. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Khattak, S. I., Ahmad, M., Khan, Z. U., & Khan, A. (2020). Exploring the impact of innovation, renewable energy consumption, and income on CO2 emissions: New evidence from the BRICS economies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 13866–13881. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-07876-4 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Kuete, Y. F. M., & Asongu, S. A. (2023). Infrastructure development as a prerequisite for structural change in Africa. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 14(2), 1386–1412. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13132-022-00989-w Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Madden, G., & Savage, S. J. (1998). CEE telecommunications investment and economic growth. Information Economics and Policy, 10(2), 173–195. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6245(97)00020-6 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Maduka, A. C., Ogwu, S. O., & Ekesiobi, C. S. (2022). Assessing the moderating effect of institutional quality on economic growth-carbon emission nexus in Nigeria. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29, 64924–64938. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-20346-3 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Mamirkulova, G., Mi, J., Abbas, J., Mahmood, S., Mubeen, R., & Ziapour, A. (2020). New Silk Road infrastructure opportunities in developing tourism environment for residents better quality of life. Global Ecology and Conservation, 24, e01194. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e01194 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Massey, A. P., Montoya-Weiss, M. M., & Brown, S. A. (1998). Managing technological change when change is mandatory. In 1998, IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics(Vol. 5, pp. 4758–4762). IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICSMC.1998.727604 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ncanywa, T., Mongale, I. P., Ralarala, O., Letsoalo, T. E., & Molele, B. S. (2021). Economic complexity to boost the selected sub-Saharan African economies. Journal of Economic and Financial Sciences, 14(1), 1–8. https://doi.org/10.4102/jef.v14i1.567 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ngepah, N., & Udeagha, M. C. (2022). The role of technological innovation in fostering environmental quality in South Africa: Fresh evidence from the novel dynamic ARDL simulations approach. Economics and Policy of Energy and Environment, 2, 107–155. https://doi.org/10.3280/EFE2022-002006 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Nwosu, E. O., Ojonta, O., & Orji, A. (2018). Household consumption expenditure and inequality: Evidence from Nigerian data. International Journal of Development Issues, 17(3), 266–287. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDI-06-2017-0113 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Nyong, S. F., & Inyang, L. O. (2018). Tourism sites and infrastructural development in Southern Senatorial District of Cross River State, Nigeria. International Journal of New Technology and Research, 4(3), 57–63. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Ogbonna, O. E., Ogbuabor, J. E., Eze, C. C., & Ugwuoke, W. O. (2021). Moderating effect of institutional quality on relationship between foreign aid and economic growth in Africa. Politická Ekonomie, 69(4), 457–478. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.polek.1314 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ogbuabor, J. E., Emeka, E. T., Orji, A., & Onuigbo, F. N. (2023a). The effects of international financial inflows on economic complexity in Africa: Does institutional quality play a moderation role? Journal of Economic Policy Reform, 26(4), 348–369. https://doi.org/10.1080/17487870.2023.2220862 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ogbuabor, J. E., Ogbonna, O. E., Anthony-Orji, O. I., Ekeocha, D. O., & Ojonta, O. I. (2023). Symmetric or asymmetric: How is economic growth responding to global economic uncertainty in Africa's oil exporters? Prague Economic Papers, 32(4), 446–472. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.pep.836 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ogbuabor, J. E., Ukwueze, E. R., Mba, I. C., Ojonta, O. I., & Orji, A. (2023). The asymmetric impact of economic policy uncertainty on global retail energy markets: Are the markets responding to the fear of the unknown? Applied Energy, 334, 120671. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.120671 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ojeka, O. J., Egbetunde, T., Okoduwa, G. O., Ojeyode, A. O., Jimoh, M., & Ogunbowale, G. O. (2024). Moderating effect of institutional quality on the influence of debt on investment in sub-Saharan Africa. Future Business Journal, 10(1), 76. https://doi.org/10.1186/s43093-024-00362-0 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ojonta, O. I. (2023). Influence of credit access on the total sales of household non-farm enterprises in Nigeria: Evidence from binary logit regression. International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 25(1), 50–63. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEBR.2023.127267 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ojonta, O. I., & Ogbuabor, J. E. (2024a). Effects of tourism and institutional quality on infrastructural development in Africa: New evidence from the system GMM technique. Business Economics. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1057/s11369-024-00355-5 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ojonta, O. I., & Ogbuabor, J. E. (2024b). Effects of international tourism on environmental quality and renewable energy use in Africa: A study of the moderating role of governance institutions. Economic Change and Restructuring, 57(4), 149. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-024-09731-9 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Okere, K. I., & Fasanya, I. O. (2024). Technological progress in achieving environmental sustainability in central and Southern Africa: The role of fossil fuels and institutional quality. Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 19(1), 2361746. https://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2024.2361746 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Okolie, A.-M., & Elijah, N. K. (2017). Neoliberal economic reforms and challenges of insecurity in Africa. South East Journal of Political Science, 3(1), 300–323. Google Scholar | WorldCat

Olaniyi, C. O., & Oladeji, S. I. (2021). Moderating the effect of institutional quality on the finance-growth nexus: Insights from West African countries. Economic Change and Restructuring, 54, 43–74. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-020-09275-8 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Olofin, O. P., Adejumo, A. V., & Sanusi, K. A. (2015). Determinants of poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa. Journal of Sustainable Development, 8(1), 235–241. https://doi.org/10.5539/jsd.v8n1p235 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Omole, D. O., & Ndambuki, J. M. (2014). Sustainable living in Africa: Case of water, sanitation, air pollution and energy. Sustainability, 6(8), 5187–5202. https://doi.org/10.3390/su6085187 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Osei, D. B. (2024). Digital infrastructure and innovation in Africa: Does human capital mediate the effect? Telematics and Informatics, 89, 102111. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tele.2024.102111 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Pesaran, M. H. (2021). General diagnostic tests for cross-sectional dependence in panels. Empirical Economics, 60, 13–50. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-020-01875-7 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Rammile, S., Bhanye, J. I., Lehobo, T., & Hugo, M. (2024). Building resilient urban infrastructure and innovation for urban public health: A case study of Bloemfontein, South Africa. In Sustainable Development Goals and urban health: Strides, challenges and way forward for poor neighborhoods(pp. 69–96). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-68734-1_5 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Safi, A., Wei, X., Sansaloni, E. M., & Umar, M. (2023). Breaking down the complexity of sustainable development: A focus on resources, economic complexity, and innovation. Resources Policy, 83, 103746. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103746 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Sakariyahu, R., Lawal, R., Etudaiye-Muhtar, O. F., & Ajide, F. M. (2023). Reflections on COP27: How do technological innovations and economic freedom affect environmental quality in Africa? Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 195, 122782. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2023.122782 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Sarafidis, V., & Robertson, D. (2009). On the impact of error cross-sectional dependence in short dynamic panel estimation. The Econometrics Journal, 12(1), 62–81. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2008.00260.x Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Stojkoski, V., Utkovski, Z., Kocarev, L., & Sendiña-Nadal, I. (2016). The impact of services on economic complexity: Service sophistication as route for economic growth. PLOS ONE, 11(8), e0161633. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0161633 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Sun, A., Isik, C., Razi, U., Xu, H., Yan, J., & Gu, X. (2024). Unravelling complexities: A study on geopolitical dynamics, economic complexity, R&D impact on green innovation in China. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 38(11), 4295–4310. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-024-02804-1 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Tabash, M. I., Mesagan, E. P., & Farooq, U. (2022). Dynamic linkage between natural resources, economic complexity, and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Africa. Resources Policy, 78, 102865. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102865 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Udeagha, M. C., & Ngepah, N. (2022). Dynamic ARDL simulations effects of fiscal decentralization, green technological innovation, trade openness, and institutional quality on environmental sustainability: Evidence from South Africa. Sustainability, 14(16), 10268. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141610268 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Ullah, S., Ozturk, I., Majeed, M. T., & Ahmad, W. (2021). Do technological innovations have symmetric or asymmetric effects on environmental quality? Evidence from Pakistan. Journal of Cleaner Production, 316, 128239. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2021.128239 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Westaway, M. (2006). A longitudinal investigation of satisfaction with personal and environmental quality of life in an informal South African housing settlement, Doornkop, Soweto. Habitat International, 30(1), 175–189. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2004.09.003 Google Scholar | Crossref | WorldCat

Yalta, A. Y., & Yalta, T. (2021). Determinants of economic complexity in MENA countries. JOEEP: Journal of Emerging Economies and Policy, 6(1), 5–16. https://izlik.org/JA56JR96CZ Google Scholar | WorldCat

Authors

Obed Ifeanyichukwu Ojonta
obed.ojonta@unn.edu.ng (Primary Contact)
Jonathan Emenike Ogbuabor
Ojonta, O. I., & Ogbuabor, J. E. (2026). Technological Innovation, Governance Institutions, Infrastructure Development, and Economic Complexity in Africa: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Data. Innovation Economics Frontiers, 29(1), 11-24. https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v29i1.419

Article Details

How to Cite

Ojonta, O. I., & Ogbuabor, J. E. (2026). Technological Innovation, Governance Institutions, Infrastructure Development, and Economic Complexity in Africa: Evidence from Dynamic Panel Data. Innovation Economics Frontiers, 29(1), 11-24. https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v29i1.419

Most read articles by the same author(s)