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• Open Access Article Economics

  14 Pages Download PDF: Financial Development, Globalization, and Economic Growth in The Next-11 Countries: Evidence from a Panel ARDL Model

  Financial Development, Globalization, and Economic Growth in The Next-11 Countries: Evidence from a Panel ARDL Model

  Moheddine Younsi

  2026-05-18 https://doi.org/10.36923/ie-frontiers.v29i1.427

  Given the growing importance of financial development and globalization in shaping economic growth over recent decades, particularly in the context of the Next-11 countries, policymakers need to carefully assess both the individual and joint effects of these factors to design policies that maximize their growth-enhancing potential. Accordingly, this study investigates the short-run and long-run effects of financial development and globalization—both independently and interactively—on economic growth in the Next-11 countries over the period 1990–2023, employing a panel ARDL framework. The empirical results reveal that financial development and globalization each have negative and significant effects on economic growth in both the short and long run. However, the interaction term between financial development and globalization is positive and significant across both time horizons, providing strong support for the complementarity hypothesis. This finding suggests that, although each factor individually constrains growth, their joint effect mitigates these adverse impacts and ultimately enhances growth outcomes. With respect to the control variables, labor has a positive and significant impact on economic growth in both the short run and the long run, highlighting the critical role of human capital and labor force expansion. Physical capital is found to be insignificant in the long run but exhibits mixed effects in the short run. Inflation remains insignificant in the long run but shows a small yet positive and significant effect in the short run. Overall, these results offer important policy implications, emphasizing the need for coordinated financial and external-sector policies to promote sustainable economic growth in the Next-11 countries.

  pp. 41-54 Abstract views:570 Downloads:240

• Open Access Article Economics Digital Economy

  16 Pages Download PDF: From Peg to Float: Economic and Political Implications of the Ethiopian Birr Flotation

  From Peg to Float: Economic and Political Implications of the Ethiopian Birr Flotation

  Fentahun Admassu Yayeh

  2025-04-16 https://doi.org/10.36923/iefrontiers.v28i1.286

  The adoption of a floating exchange rate system constitutes a pivotal economic policy decision that both reflects and influences a nation’s broader political economy. The flotation of the Ethiopian Birr (ETB) marks a substantial shift in Ethiopia’s monetary policy framework, carrying significant implications for the country's macroeconomic stability and development trajectory. This paper investigates the rationale behind the policy shift, its anticipated economic impacts, and potential future pathways for Ethiopia. Through a systematic review of the literature and comparative analysis of case studies from other countries, the study provides a comprehensive evaluation of the benefits, risks, and strategic considerations associated with the move to a floating exchange rate. While the reform offers promising prospects for greater economic autonomy, enhanced trade competitiveness, and market-driven growth, it also introduces considerable challenges, including inflationary pressures, socioeconomic inequality, and political uncertainty. To fully leverage the potential of this transition, Ethiopia must prioritize sound policy management, institutional strengthening, and structural economic reforms. These measures are critical to mitigating the inherent risks of exchange rate liberalization and to ensuring that the country achieves long-term macroeconomic stability, inclusive growth, and sustained structural transformation.

  pp. 46-61 Abstract views:1264 Downloads:716