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• Open Access Article

  14 Pages Download PDF: Extending Okun's Law to encompass the governance-unemployment nexus: New Insights from PMG/ARDL Approach

  Extending Okun's Law to encompass the governance-unemployment nexus: New Insights from PMG/ARDL Approach

  Muhammad Umar Farooq, Abdul Majeed Nadeem, Qasim Ali

  2025-06-29 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i1.636

  This study has empirically aimed at estimating the short-and long-term dynamics of financial and institutional factors with respect to the unemployment rate in the case of the selected developing economies over the period of 1996-2023. The second-generation empirical analyses, such as cross-sectional dependence and unit-root analysis, support the use of pooled mean group regression analysis. The empirical outcomes of the pooled mean group regression have confirmed the existence of Okun’s law in the influence of a rise in control of corruption, government effectiveness, and political stability to reduce the unemployment rate in this region. Among the financial factors, the economic growth-unemployment rate nexus significantly validates the existence of Okun’s law. Further, the exchange rate is also highly significant in decreasing the unemployment rate in this region. However, the negative impact of the interest rate and the positive effect of broad money growth are surprisingly significant in affecting the unemployment rate and contradict the literature. Surprisingly, the institutional factors are more responsive to the unemployment rate compared with financial indicators. These outcomes suggest important policy implications regarding institutional and financial factors to control the unemployment rate in these economies

  pp. 68-81 Abstract views:187 Downloads:273

• Open Access Article

  9 Pages Download PDF: The Money Market Stability: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in Pakistan

  The Money Market Stability: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in Pakistan

  Ayza Shoukat, Muhammad Abdullah

  2025-12-02 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i2.632

  This study proposes an investigation into the relationship between money demand and economic uncertainty in Pakistan. This study extends the Keynes money demand function by including the optimal uncertainty index and analyzes the impact of uncertainty on the money demand. We employed annual data from 1990-2022 and ARDL for data analysis. We used money demand as the dependent variable, the world uncertainty index for Pakistan as a core explanatory variable, with other control variables. The empirical results indicate the existence of a long-run and direct relationship between uncertainty and money demand in Pakistan. The study also provides valuable implications for policymakers for a stable money market.

  pp. 30-38 Abstract views:197 Downloads:111