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Journal of Contemporary Macroeconomic Issues

  • Online ISSN 2709-0469
  • Print ISSN 2708-4973
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  • Open Access Article

    18 Pages Download PDF: Analyzing the Influence of Post-2018 Macroeconomic and Bank-Specific Indicators on Banking Sector Profitability: Evidence from Pakistan

    Analyzing the Influence of Post-2018 Macroeconomic and Bank-Specific Indicators on Banking Sector Profitability: Evidence from Pakistan

    Muhammad Iqbal, Muhammad Munir Ahmad, Naeem Raza, Muhammad Tayyeb Hafeez

    2025-06-27 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i1.643

    This study examines the impact of macroeconomic and bank-specific indicators on the profitability of Pakistan’s banking sector, focusing on the volatile post-2018 period. Using return on assets (ROA) as the performance metric, it analyzes data from 20 commercial banks between 2018 and 2023. Panel data regression, conducted via Gretl software, reveals that these internal factors—Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Spread Ratio (SR), and Earnings per Share (EPS)—positively and significantly influence ROA, while Firm Size (SZ) has a significant negative effect. In contrast, macroeconomic indicators like Exchange Rate (EXR), GDP, and Policy Rate (POLR) show insignificant negative relationships, and Inflation (INF), Foreign Exchange Reserves (FXRV), and Cash Equivalents (CEQU) have insignificant positive effects. These findings highlight that bank-level factors play a more critical role than external economic conditions in determining profitability. The study recommends that bank managers focus on operational efficiency and

    pp. 119-136 Abstract views:216 Downloads:118
  • Open Access Article

    9 Pages Download PDF: The Money Market Stability: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in Pakistan

    The Money Market Stability: Exploring the Role of Uncertainty in Pakistan

    Ayza Shoukat, Muhammad Abdullah

    2025-12-02 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i2.632

    This study proposes an investigation into the relationship between money demand and economic uncertainty in Pakistan. This study extends the Keynes money demand function by including the optimal uncertainty index and analyzes the impact of uncertainty on the money demand. We employed annual data from 1990-2022 and ARDL for data analysis. We used money demand as the dependent variable, the world uncertainty index for Pakistan as a core explanatory variable, with other control variables. The empirical results indicate the existence of a long-run and direct relationship between uncertainty and money demand in Pakistan. The study also provides valuable implications for policymakers for a stable money market.

    pp. 30-38 Abstract views:197 Downloads:111
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Journal of Contemporary Macroeconomic Issues · Online ISSN 2709-0469 · Print ISSN 2708-4973 · Published by ICR Publications · Contact editorial office

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