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Journal of Contemporary Macroeconomic Issues

  • Online ISSN 2709-0469
  • Print ISSN 2708-4973
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8 results found

  • Open Access Article

    15 Pages Download PDF: Workers’ Remittances and Socio-Economic Well-Being in Top Ten Remittances Receiving Developing Countries: The Role of Financial Development

    Workers’ Remittances and Socio-Economic Well-Being in Top Ten Remittances Receiving Developing Countries: The Role of Financial Development

    Mahnaz Muhammad Ali, Rozina Sadiq, Muhammad Javed

    2024-06-14 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v5i1.570

    The present study contributes empirical evidence to the impact of remittances on the socio-economic well-being of recipient nations, particularly through the enhancement of their Human Development Index (HDI) rankings. Utilizing a panel dataset comprising the top ten remittance-receiving countries over the period from 1990 to 2020, the research endeavors to offer a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between remittance inflows and HDI metrics. This investigation delves into the nuanced dimensions of HDI, namely health, education, and income per capita, to discern the specific effects of remittances on each component. The study employs the generalized method of moments (GMM) technique to mitigate potential endogeneity concerns inherent in the relationship between remittances and financial development. The findings of this empirical inquiry suggest that remittances wield a discernible influence on augmenting human well-being, particularly by fostering improvements in health and education outcomes. Additionally, the study identifies a constructive role for financial development in bolstering HDI indicators. In light of these findings, it is recommended that policymakers formulate tailored strategies aimed at facilitating remittance flows, thereby affording migrants enhanced access to robust financial systems.

    pp. 1-15 Abstract views:359 Downloads:99
  • Open Access Article

    11 Pages Download PDF: Social Protection Analysis on Labor Market of Pakistan

    Social Protection Analysis on Labor Market of Pakistan

    Tayyaba Faaiz, Hafsa Bibi, Naseem Akhtar, Mahnoor Fatima

    2025-12-10 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i2.667

    Social security is seen as a fundamental human right. The aim of this study is to explore the effect of social protection on the labor market dynamic. This study is based on the HIES data set from 2018-19. Binary logistic regression is used to estimate the parameters of the labor force participation model. This study found that beneficiaries of social protection programs have a negative trend toward labor force participation in Pakistan. In addition, it is observed that some social indicators like age, the rural living region, and male household head significantly effect on labor force participation. This study also attempts to fill the gap by examining the effect that LFP on educational attainments. The study attempts to highlight the effect of social protection on LFP at the provincial level. The results explore the positive effect on labor force participation of beneficiaries by different age categories. Female labor force participation of grant receivers in Pakistan is still below as compared to males. The results show that the impacts of higher educated people on the labor force are low as compared to uneducated. The study concludes by lying out some recommendations.

    pp. 49-59 Abstract views:262 Downloads:117
  • Open Access Article

    18 Pages Download PDF: Analyzing the Influence of Post-2018 Macroeconomic and Bank-Specific Indicators on Banking Sector Profitability: Evidence from Pakistan

    Analyzing the Influence of Post-2018 Macroeconomic and Bank-Specific Indicators on Banking Sector Profitability: Evidence from Pakistan

    Muhammad Iqbal, Muhammad Munir Ahmad, Naeem Raza, Muhammad Tayyeb Hafeez

    2025-06-27 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i1.643

    This study examines the impact of macroeconomic and bank-specific indicators on the profitability of Pakistan’s banking sector, focusing on the volatile post-2018 period. Using return on assets (ROA) as the performance metric, it analyzes data from 20 commercial banks between 2018 and 2023. Panel data regression, conducted via Gretl software, reveals that these internal factors—Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Spread Ratio (SR), and Earnings per Share (EPS)—positively and significantly influence ROA, while Firm Size (SZ) has a significant negative effect. In contrast, macroeconomic indicators like Exchange Rate (EXR), GDP, and Policy Rate (POLR) show insignificant negative relationships, and Inflation (INF), Foreign Exchange Reserves (FXRV), and Cash Equivalents (CEQU) have insignificant positive effects. These findings highlight that bank-level factors play a more critical role than external economic conditions in determining profitability. The study recommends that bank managers focus on operational efficiency and

    pp. 119-136 Abstract views:216 Downloads:118
  • Open Access Article

    16 Pages Download PDF: Impact of Financial Inclusion Using Community Investment Fund on Poverty Graduation in Rural Sindh of Pakistan

    Impact of Financial Inclusion Using Community Investment Fund on Poverty Graduation in Rural Sindh of Pakistan

    Talat Anwar, Fazal Ali Khan, Lubna Hassan, Amna Ejaz

    2025-06-25 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i1.640

    Financial inclusion offers significant benefits to the unbanked poor population, but barriers such as low literacy, lack of trust in formal financial institutions, and high transaction costs often hinder the use of formal banking services. On the other hand, the Community Investment Fund (CIF) is a revolving grant managed by community-based organisations that provides a low-cost, sustainable solution. The paper examines the impact of financial inclusion through CIF funds on poverty graduation in Rural Sindh, Pakistan. The Poverty Scorecard (PSC) tool is used to assess the changes in the poverty status of CIF loan and grant beneficiaries using before-and-after approaches. A household survey dataset from rural Sindh, covering 4,023 randomly selected households, is analysed. The findings suggest that financial inclusion through community investment funds has positively impacted poor households and helped them graduate from a lower poverty band to a higher one. Compared to conventional sources of finance like Microfinance Banks, the findings suggest that CIF loans appear to be largely cost-effective. We thus recommend increasing CIF coverage for poor segments of the population in Pakistan, as it provides a low-cost, sustainable solution for poverty graduation and increases the cost-effectiveness of social protection programmes in the country.

    pp. 95-110 Abstract views:348 Downloads:120
  • Open Access Article

    17 Pages Download PDF: Innovating for a Greener Future: Assessing the Impact of Renewable Energy, Resource Efficiency, and Technology on CO₂ Emission Reduction

    Innovating for a Greener Future: Assessing the Impact of Renewable Energy, Resource Efficiency, and Technology on CO₂ Emission Reduction

    Mahnaz Muhammad Ali, Rehana Kousar, Mahrukh Ruba, Samar Abbas, Qurat Ul Ain

    2025-12-30 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i2.675

    This paper explores how CO2 is emitted in 30 developing Asian economies. Such countries differ in terms of income levels, such as low, middle, and high income, and the years between 1990 and 2022 are included in the study. It employs a powerful econometric model in which both the System Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) is used to overcome dynamic endogeneity and Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) is used to overcome potential reverse causality. This integrated methodology serves well to investigate the impacts of renewable energy use, the availability of natural resources, and technological innovation on the level of emissions. These findings of the study demonstrate a complex dynamic. There is presently a positive relationship between technological innovation and the rise in emissions, which can be attributed to the fact that technology is used to streamline the industrialization process that uses fossil fuels on a large scale. On the contrary, renewable energy and natural resources also contribute to the decrease in CO2 emissions. One of the biggest revelations is that production-oriented industrialization, particularly after China's entry into the WTO in 2001, has contributed greatly to the growth in global emissions. Since, in most cases, the area lacks powerful and effective environmental laws, this study emphasizes the necessity of modifications in policy. Steps such as promoting green innovation technology and introducing a price on carbon are crucial to uncoupling economic growth and emissions and creating an efficient global climate policy.

    pp. 94-110 Abstract views:4156 Downloads:80
  • Open Access Article

    17 Pages Download PDF: The Empirics of Okun’s Law Using Augmented ARDL: The Case of Pakistan

    The Empirics of Okun’s Law Using Augmented ARDL: The Case of Pakistan

    Shah Khalid, Ibrar Hussain, Nafees Ahmad, Riaz Ahmad, Sajjadullah

    2025-12-02 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i2.646

    From time series data covering 1972 to 2024, the objective of the study is to investigate the Okun's coefficient for Pakistan. The coefficient of Okun's law is determined using the Augmented ARDL econometric technique to estimate the long-run elasticities and short-run dynamics while sidestepping degenerate cases. Four variations of the Okun's law—the gap, difference, dynamic version, and augmented production function versions—are applied to estimate the Okun's coefficient. In order to measure output and unemployment gap, Hodrick-rescott (HP) filter is also used. The empirical results demonstrated that in case of Pakistan the law doesn’t hold as evidenced by the comparatively low coefficients obtained applying all four versions.

    pp. 1-17 Abstract views:255 Downloads:128
  • Open Access Article

    19 Pages Download PDF: The Role of Energy Investment in Promoting Economic Sustainability in Developing Countries: A CS-ARDL Analysis

    The Role of Energy Investment in Promoting Economic Sustainability in Developing Countries: A CS-ARDL Analysis

    Aqeel Ahmad, Tusawar Iftikhar Ahmad, Asma Sajjad, Sajjad Ali

    2025-12-30 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i2.673

    Energy investment plays a pivotal role in promoting economic sustainability through a reliable energy supply to support industrial production and innovation. The current work investigates the difference in energy investment and economic sustainability between 1990 and 2022 for 88 developing countries with an income classification. Using the Cross-Sectional Autoregressive Distributed Lag (CS-ARDL) methodology, the research simultaneously tests short- and long-run dynamics while explicitly modeling cross-sectional dependence. The results suggest that although labor force participation, capital formation, human capital, and foreign direct investment have positive impacts on economic sustainability across income levels, energy investment, especially when used for creating public-private partnerships, fosters economic growth in middle-income economies but has a negative correlation with low-income economies. Policy implications drawn from the findings indicate that boosting investment in the energy sector, with special focus on the use of renewable technologies in low- income countries, would be an effective strategy for promoting sustainable development.

    pp. 75-93 Abstract views:144 Downloads:90
  • 13 Pages Download PDF: Does More Income Buy More Happiness? Empirical Evidence from the World Values Survey in Pakistan

    Does More Income Buy More Happiness? Empirical Evidence from the World Values Survey in Pakistan

    Samia Awais, Shahzad Kouser, Ihtesham-ul-Haq Padda

    2025-06-30 https://doi.org/10.36923/jcmi.v6i1.639

    This study examines the empirical validity of the Easterlin Paradox in the context of Pakistan, drawing on nationally representative microdata from 1,995 adult respondents in the most recent Wave 7 of the World Values Survey. The paradox posits that while income is positively associated with happiness at a given point in time, long-term income increases do not necessarily lead to sustained improvements in subjective well-being. We examine this relationship through a combination of descriptive statistics and a two-level mixed-effects ordered logistic regression model, which accounts for both individual- and community-level heterogeneity. The analysis confirms that income has a statistically significant positive effect on happiness; however, the inclusion of a squared income term reveals a non-linear, concave relationship, indicating diminishing marginal returns to income—a core tenet of the Easterlin Paradox. Beyond income, a range of non-material factors such as good health, perceived autonomy, confidence in institutions, and social class emerge as significant predictors of happiness. Conversely, factors like food insecurity and being a victim of crime negatively impact subjective well-being. These findings align with the capability approach and recent global literature emphasizing the multidimensional nature of happiness. The study contributes to filling a critical gap in South Asian happiness research by providing country-specific, methodologically rigorous evidence from Pakistan. Policy implications suggest the need for a broader, human-centered development strategy that prioritizes healthcare, education, institutional trust, and social protection, rather than focusing narrowly on income growth. By shifting the focus toward inclusive and holistic well-being, Pakistan can better align its development goals with what truly enhances the lives of its citizens.

    pp. 82-94 Abstract views:215 Downloads:160
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Journal of Contemporary Macroeconomic Issues · Online ISSN 2709-0469 · Print ISSN 2708-4973 · Published by ICR Publications · Contact editorial office

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